According to the source, October has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, with average BTC returns of +21.89%, fueling the “Uptober” narrative [source]. Based on the source’s seasonality claim, traders may structure entries on a monthly-open reclaim and manage exits on a loss of the monthly open to express the bias with defined risk [source]. Based on the source’s seasonality claim, confirmation tools to avoid false starts can include monitoring spot–futures basis, funding trends, and weekly momentum before sizing up [source]. Given the source’s claim is historical in nature, risk controls such as conservative position sizing and pre-set invalidation levels are critical if the seasonal pattern fails to materialize [source].

According to Miles Deutscher, September is usually a bad month for crypto and he compiled his top 10 alpha tweets to help traders prepare, implying a defensive setup into the new month for BTC and ETH. Source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/milesdeutscher/status/1962194151275139240 Historically, September has been one of BTC’s weaker months with frequent negative monthly returns, reinforcing a cautious stance around month-open volatility. Source: CoinGlass Bitcoin Monthly Returns, https://www.coinglass.com/BitcoinMonthlyReturns This curation suggests traders prioritize preparation for seasonal drawdowns and monitor liquidity and volatility conditions into September for BTC and ETH. Source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 31, 2025, https://twitter.com/milesdeutscher/status/1962194151275139240